Wednesday, 29 June 2016

Date : 30.06.2016

Seventh Pay Commission: Who’s Got a Raise?

In November 2015, the Seventh Central Pay Commission recommended changes in the pay of around 1 crore individuals — 33 lakh central government employees, 14 lakh armed forces personnel, and 52 lakh pensioners.

The central government periodically sets up a Pay Commission to evaluate and recommend revisions of salaries and pensions for its employees. In November 2015, the Seventh Central Pay Commission recommended changes in the pay of around 1 crore individuals — 33 lakh central government employees, 14 lakh armed forces personnel, and 52 lakh pensioners. On Wednesday evening, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley told a press conference that the government had decided to “by and large” accept the recommendations.

> Central government employs 8.5% of India’s organised workforce.  The Armed Forces are the country’s biggest employer.


The central government’s share in organised sector employment has gradually fallen over the past 15 years. In 1994, 12.4% of the organised workforce were central government employees; in 2012 they were only 8.5%.
Sources: Economic Survey of India, PRS; *Provisional data
graph2
In 2014, the central government employed 47 lakh — nearly 30% (14 lakh) of whom were armed forces personnel. The Railways followed close behind, with a 28% share in employees. Between 2006 and 2014, all ministries except Home saw a decrease in employees. The number of MHA employees (including the paramilitary forces) went up by 32% during this period.
Sources: Report of the Seventh Central Pay Commission, PRS; *Includes Central Armed Police Forces; **Data for Defence (military) not available for 2006
> 89% of all employees belong to Group C. 1 in 5 central government positions is vacant.


88.7% belong to Group C (those providing assistance), followed by Group B (8.5%; middle management) and Group A (2.8%; those who hold the higher administrative positions).
Sources: Report of the Seventh Central Pay Commission, PRS
> Defence personnel constitute largest share among pensioners, followed by the Railways
graph9
7.47 lakh positions are vacant in the central government, excluding in the Armed Forces — a vacancy of 18.5%. The Revenue Department is the emptiest, with vacancies adding up to 45% of sanctioned strength. In terms of numbers, the Railways has the most unfilled positions — 2.35 lakh.
Sources: Report of the Seventh Central Pay Commission, PRS; *Includes Central Armed Police Forces
Defence personnel constitute largest share among pensioners, followed by the Railways
graph4
As of January 2014, central government pensioners numbered 51.96 lakh. Defence personnel constituted 46.5% of the total, followed by Railways (26.5%). The large share of defence personnel may be due to early retirement of these personnel as compared to other government employees.
Sources: Report of the Seventh Central Pay Commission, PRS
graph5
> Nearly 8% of total spending is on salaries; well above half of that is on pensions
graph6
In 2014-15, the central government is expected to spend 7.8% of its total expenditure on salaries, and 4.6% on pensions. Expenditure on salaries and pensions spiked after the 5th and 6th Pay Commission recommendations were implemented in 1997-98 and 2008-09 respectively.
Sources: Indian Public Finance Statistics, Ministry of Finance, PRS; Dotted lines indicate year of submission of Pay Commission Report; *2013-14 (Revised Estimates), 2014-15 (Budget Estimates)
Overall expenditure is estimated to increase by 23.6%
graph7
> Government expenditure on pay, allowances and pension (PAP) is expected to increase by 23.6%
> Expenditure on pay is expected to increase by 16%, on allowances by 63%, and on pension by 24%
> Additional expenditure is expected to increase the ratio of PAP as percent of GDP from 2.8% in 2015-16 to 3.4% in 2016-17
Sources: Report of the Seventh Central Pay Commission, PRS; Figures in Rupees crore
DATA COURTESY: PRS LEGISLATIVE RESEARCH All calculations based on recommendations of the Seventh Pay Commission

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